Our work
Here you will find all our work and everything others write about us. We are constantly working to produce new content, including notes, consultation input, chronicles and debate posts.
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The law that drives the development of AI
Anyone who understands AI's scaling laws understands the future.
Are our politicians AI skeptics?
Either they ignore the challenges, or they ridicule them.
Norway has been a leader in global health — with new committee, we hope it continues
Millions of lives depend on Norway to continue its efforts on global health. Therefore, we ask a committee of experts led by Camilla Stoltenberg to advise on Norway's strategy for the future.
Even the government can't claim that the electric car subsidies are effective climate policy now
Effective, global climate policy is not outdated. That's the future.
Science has not provided good enough answers to the question of the origin of the pandemic
Here politics has become entwined with what should have been open and free research.
What do we owe the future?
Do we have moral obligations towards people that do not yet exist? In long-term ethics, one is concerned with the future, but what does it really entail?
Dangerously fast in the wrong direction
Creating super-intelligent KI will be humanity's greatest achievement. But will it be the best or worst thing we've created?
Cut electric car subsidies - spend the money out
The electric car subsidies cost too much and seem too little. Replace them with more effective climate action abroad.
Antimicrobial resistance - Taking action on pull incentives in Norway
Antimikrobiell resistens (AMR) er en alvorlig og raskt voksende folkehelsetrussel. I 2022 ble det anslått at AMR førte til 1,27 millioner dødsfall globalt. Dette notatet beskriver en modell som estimerer at det i 2015 gikk tapt minst 240 liv i Norge på grunn av antimikrobiell resistens. Modellen er utarbeidet av Alliance for Reducing Microbial Resistance (ARMoR) med innspill fra tankesmien Langsikt. Utviklingskjeden for antimikrobielle midler har over tid blitt utarmet, og er nå klart utilstrekkelig for å levere medikamentene som trengs for å behandle resistente infeksjoner. En viktig årsak til dette er markedssvikt i legemiddelmarkedet, der dagens insentivstruktur gjør det ulønnsomt å kommersialisere nye antibiotika. ARMoR foreslår en satsing på såkalte pull-insentiver som en del av løsningen på denne markedssvikten.
Government's climate funding is tinkering with numbers
Norway contributes less than we claim and “aid-washes” profitable investments.
Media coverage
Want to cut corporate taxes: -- Should do something to get more investment
Trade Council member Kristoffer Berg is interviewed in E24 about the Long-Term memo “Tax policy for the future”.
Fewer journalists, more KI — who powers the walls?
Senior Advisor Tellef Raabe on the podcast Behind the News with Elin Ludvigsen to discuss KI and the media.
Camilla Stoltenberg on podcast about global health
Trade Council member Camilla Stoltenberg speaks on global health on Liberal Halftime. In 2024, she chaired the Stoltenberg Committee on Global Health, where Long Term was one of the principals.
We earned almost twice as much as we gave in aid
Norfund should be allowed by the government to invest in several sectors, including health and education, says Eirik Mofoss. He is interviewed about the profitability of Norwegian investments in Africa.
Senior Adviser Tellef Raabe on podcast about KI and media economy
Tellef Raabe discusses together with Gievær & the gang.
Criticism of Langsikt Memo “Welcome to New NORAD Director”
Social anthropologist and special adviser for West Africa at Det Norske Missionsselskap (NMS) asks whether pooling aid will make it more effective.
Calls for AI measures: — Students, do not become apathetic!
Other divisions in the AI system, base salaries and a system of apprenticeships for graduates. Research director in the think-tank Long Term Aksel Braanen Sterri in a report in Universitas.
Follow-up to Senior Adviser's Tellef Raabe's Chronicle on Potential KI-Created Media Crisis
DN editor calls for a common front against tech giants, writes Klassekampen. Aftenposten launches KI newshunter, reports Journalisten. Both cases build on Tellef Raabe's chronicle “Media Crisis on the Stairs” and ChatGPT's access to articles behind paywall.
Chatbot renders cases behind the paywall
Chat GPT summarizes articles that are only available to subscribers. The media crisis starts now, believes media researcher and senior adviser in Long Term, Tellef Raabe.
The Future Panel on the Daily Revue on Wales' Future Legislation
On the occasion of Democracy Day, the Future Panel's recommendation for a future representative was raised in the Daily Revue. Long Term was one of seven principals behind the Future panel.