Our work

What do we owe the future?

Do we have moral obligations towards people that do not yet exist? In long-term ethics, one is concerned with the future, but what does it really entail?

Dangerously fast in the wrong direction

Creating super-intelligent KI will be humanity's greatest achievement. But will it be the best or worst thing we've created?

Cut electric car subsidies - spend the money out

The electric car subsidies cost too much and seem too little. Replace them with more effective climate action abroad.

Antimicrobial resistance - Taking action on pull incentives in Norway

Antimikrobiell resistens (AMR) er en alvorlig og raskt voksende folkehelsetrussel. I 2022 ble det anslått at AMR førte til 1,27 millioner dødsfall globalt. Dette notatet beskriver en modell som estimerer at det i 2015 gikk tapt minst 240 liv i Norge på grunn av antimikrobiell resistens. Modellen er utarbeidet av Alliance for Reducing Microbial Resistance (ARMoR) med innspill fra tankesmien Langsikt. Utviklingskjeden for antimikrobielle midler har over tid blitt utarmet, og er nå klart utilstrekkelig for å levere medikamentene som trengs for å behandle resistente infeksjoner. En viktig årsak til dette er markedssvikt i legemiddelmarkedet, der dagens insentivstruktur gjør det ulønnsomt å kommersialisere nye antibiotika. ARMoR foreslår en satsing på såkalte pull-insentiver som en del av løsningen på denne markedssvikten.

Government's climate funding is tinkering with numbers

Norway contributes less than we claim and “aid-washes” profitable investments.

Norwegian food security in scenarios with abrupt sunlight reduction

This report, prepared in collaboration with ALLFED, highlights the ongoing threat to Norway's food systems from abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRS), caused by events such as a volcanic eruption, nuclear conflict or an asteroid impact. Historically, such scenarios have severely disrupted the global climate and would have catastrophic consequences for food security around the world if they were to occur again. However, there are effective measures that Norwegian authorities can take to strengthen preparedness both before and after such an event, which can reduce disruptions to the food system and save lives globally.

The lie behind the rule of action

We don't owe it to posterity to maximise the size of the Oil Fund.

Expert committee to advise on Norway's efforts for global health

Norwegian humanitarian and development organizations and think tanks are joining forces to set up a committee to make recommendations for Norway's global health efforts in the years ahead. Norway has played a leading role in global health cooperation in recent decades. It needs to be continued, the principals believe. Camilla Stoltenberg will be the head of the new committee.

Norwegian aid could change the world for good

Certain measures, even aid skeptics may not dispute that have the desired effect. Childhood vaccination is a well-known example -- measures against lead poisoning could be next.

No one is free when society is mobile-dependent

It is well known that the mobile is addictive. It stimulates the dopamine center in the brain, and has a design reminiscent of one-armed bandits in a casino hall. There is, however, another aspect of addiction that is underestimated and that makes it an almost impossible task for the individual to regulate their own use.