Our work
Here you will find all our work and everything others write about us. We are constantly working to produce new content, including notes, consultation input, chronicles and debate posts.
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Are our politicians AI skeptics?
Either they ignore the challenges, or they ridicule them.
Norway has been a leader in global health — with new committee, we hope it continues
Millions of lives depend on Norway to continue its efforts on global health. Therefore, we ask a committee of experts led by Camilla Stoltenberg to advise on Norway's strategy for the future.
Even the government can't claim that the electric car subsidies are effective climate policy now
Effective, global climate policy is not outdated. That's the future.
Science has not provided good enough answers to the question of the origin of the pandemic
Here politics has become entwined with what should have been open and free research.
What do we owe the future?
Do we have moral obligations towards people that do not yet exist? In long-term ethics, one is concerned with the future, but what does it really entail?
Dangerously fast in the wrong direction
Creating super-intelligent KI will be humanity's greatest achievement. But will it be the best or worst thing we've created?
Cut electric car subsidies - spend the money out
The electric car subsidies cost too much and seem too little. Replace them with more effective climate action abroad.
Antimicrobial resistance - Taking action on pull incentives in Norway
Antimikrobiell resistens (AMR) er en alvorlig og raskt voksende folkehelsetrussel. I 2022 ble det anslått at AMR førte til 1,27 millioner dødsfall globalt. Dette notatet beskriver en modell som estimerer at det i 2015 gikk tapt minst 240 liv i Norge på grunn av antimikrobiell resistens. Modellen er utarbeidet av Alliance for Reducing Microbial Resistance (ARMoR) med innspill fra tankesmien Langsikt. Utviklingskjeden for antimikrobielle midler har over tid blitt utarmet, og er nå klart utilstrekkelig for å levere medikamentene som trengs for å behandle resistente infeksjoner. En viktig årsak til dette er markedssvikt i legemiddelmarkedet, der dagens insentivstruktur gjør det ulønnsomt å kommersialisere nye antibiotika. ARMoR foreslår en satsing på såkalte pull-insentiver som en del av løsningen på denne markedssvikten.
Government's climate funding is tinkering with numbers
Norway contributes less than we claim and “aid-washes” profitable investments.
Norwegian food security in scenarios with abrupt sunlight reduction
This report, prepared in collaboration with ALLFED, highlights the ongoing threat to Norway's food systems from abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRS), caused by events such as a volcanic eruption, nuclear conflict or an asteroid impact. Historically, such scenarios have severely disrupted the global climate and would have catastrophic consequences for food security around the world if they were to occur again. However, there are effective measures that Norwegian authorities can take to strengthen preparedness both before and after such an event, which can reduce disruptions to the food system and save lives globally.
Media coverage
Interview with Stoltenberg, Sandkjær, Høie and Vestre after report launch
NRK Nyhetsmorgen covers the expert panel on global health, where Langsikt has been among the initiators (15:52). They also interview the chair of the committee, Camilla Stoltenberg, about how Norway's strategy on global health should be in the next few years to contribute to a halving of premature death by 2050 (16:59). Later in the broadcast (34:49), State Secretary to the Minister of International Development, Bjørg Sandkjær, County Governor and former Minister of Health Bent Høie, and current Minister of Health, Jan Christian Vestre, are also interviewed.
New Report Raises Alarm About Global Pandemic Preparedness
On Monday 4 November, the Committee of Experts in Global Health, led by Camilla Stoltenberg, released its report on how Norway can help reduce premature death by 50% globally by 2050. Langsikt is one of the commissioning parties for the committee, and has also had a central part of the secretariat. NRK mentioned the report launch first, and the report has also been featured in VG, Forskning.no, Dagsavisen, Vårt Land, Adresseavisen, Nettavisen and others. You can find the report under “Publications” with the name “Norway can, Norway should: Take the lead in halving premature death by 2050.”
Wanted: Norwegians to help form future of country's $1.8 trillion piggy bank
Some 40,000 Norwegian citizens picked at random will next month receive an invitation to help shape the future of their country's wealth, including what to do with its $1.8 trillion sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest. They will be whittled down to 66 to take part in the Future Panel, described as a "citizens' assembly for Norway's future" by its organisers, a group of seven non-governmental organisations.
Director of Langsikt Eirik Mofoss in Agenda interview on Norway's green guarantees
Eirik Mofoss is one of several people interviewed in Agenda Magazine on Norway's green investments. Mofoss criticizes the Norwegian Green Guarantee Scheme for setting aside a buffer for possible losses, and believes that Norway, with its strong economy and access to capital, does not need such a loss provision.
Eirik Mofoss in panel discussion on Norway's support to the vaccine alliance Gavi
The Managing director of Langsikt, Eirik Mofoss, recently participated in a panel discussion with Sania Nishtar, director of the vaccine alliance Gavi. Over the past 25 years, including with the support of Norway, Gavi has vaccinated over one billion children.
Året da KI vant Nobelprisene
Seniorrådgiver Sigrid Bratlie kommenterer nobelprisen i kjemi og i medisin (som begge egentlig går til molekylærbiologi!) i Abels tårn spesial om årets Nobelpriser.
The law that drives the development of AI
Aksel Sterri, Research Director, writes about the scaling law and the consequences it can have for Norwegian AI policy. “Despite the challenges, there is little reason to believe that we have seen the best AI models. Billions of dollars are invested in the leading technology companies and AI-created data has already been used to improve Anthropic's AI model. Epoch's conclusion is that “by 2030, with a high probability, it will be possible to train models that exceed GPT-4 in scale to the same extent that GPT-4 exceeds GPT-2 in scale”.”
Tore Renberg kritiserer Digitaliseringsministerns holdning til KI-sikkerhet
Tore Renberg kritiserer digitaliseringsministerens svar til fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri på Dagsnytt 18 den 26.09. Tung svarer: «Jeg tror ikke på dommedagsscenarioene.» - "Merk hvilket ord hun bruker: «Tror.» Som Braanen Sterri sa: Sånn kan vi ikke holde på. Vi kan ikke basere den største revolusjonen i moderne tid på tro. Det har folk forsøkt før. For hva er tro? Tro er følelser. Og menneskene i samfunnet er ikke eksperter, de er følelsesklumper. Det skal de få lov til å være. Det er den styrende parten som ikke har lov til å styre etter følelser."
Fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri kommenterer regjeringens nye digitaliseringsstategi i Dagsnytt 18
Fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri kommenterer og diskuterer regjeringens nye digitaliseringsstategi med Digitaliseringsminister Karianne Tung i Dagsnytt 18. Sterri etterlyser at Digitaliseringsstrategien lytter til de ledende forskerne på KI og tar på alvor de mulige alvorlige truslene fra KI.
Professorer om oljens klimaeffekt: – Norge har et visst moralsk ansvar
E24 skriver om det nye forslaget, og det tilhørende arrangementet av Langsikt og Samfunnsøkonomene, lagt fram av Steinar Holden og Michael Hoel i den nyeste utgaven av Samfunnsøkonomen. Forslaget innebærer en klimaavgift på olje som skal brukes til å finansiere klimainvesteringer i utviklingsland.