Our work
Here you will find all our work and everything others write about us. We are constantly working to produce new content, including notes, consultation input, chronicles and debate posts.
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Ten years of climate change - what has been followed up?
Over the past ten years, Norway has had five climate committees that have studied and described what Norway needs to do to adapt to climate targets. But we're still not on track. Long Term has gone through the recommendations of these committees, and assessed how much is actually followed up by politicians.
Time for reprioritization
How to free up room for action in Norwegian aid after US cuts
Letter to the Minister of Development from the Stoltenberg Committee
Letter to Åsmund Grøver Aukrust, dated 22 April 2025.
What if Trump obtains super-intelligent AI?
No one wants China to win the AI race. But how confident are we if Donald Trump's United States comes first to the finish line?
Input to Meld. St. on Peace and Conflict Resolution
In the report to the Storting on peace and conflict resolution, expected in August 2025, the think-tank Long Term below has answered two indicative questions from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.
Transport demand in futures with artificial general intelligence
We discuss the potential impact of artificial general intelligence (AGI) on society, labor markets and transport demand, and argue that transport planners need to rethink long-term future scenarios.
Letter to Støre and Aukrust: Make an early promise to Gavi
We urge the government to ensure that Norway makes an early pledge of binding support for Gavi at the same level as before.
Climate message is shockingly weak
The climate crisis will not be solved with nice words and quota buying. It is solved with tough choices and real readjustment.
Choose the educations AI can't take away from you!
Here are seven pieces of advice for adolescents -- and parents -- wondering what, and if, they should study in the age of artificial intelligence.
Climate message is shockingly weak
The government's new climate announcement is a serious setback for Norway's climate work. It is virtually devoid of new measures and in practice involves a weakening of climate targets.
Media coverage
Interview with Stoltenberg, Sandkjær, Høie and Vestre after report launch
NRK Nyhetsmorgen covers the expert panel on global health, where Langsikt has been among the initiators (15:52). They also interview the chair of the committee, Camilla Stoltenberg, about how Norway's strategy on global health should be in the next few years to contribute to a halving of premature death by 2050 (16:59). Later in the broadcast (34:49), State Secretary to the Minister of International Development, Bjørg Sandkjær, County Governor and former Minister of Health Bent Høie, and current Minister of Health, Jan Christian Vestre, are also interviewed.
New Report Raises Alarm About Global Pandemic Preparedness
On Monday 4 November, the Committee of Experts in Global Health, led by Camilla Stoltenberg, released its report on how Norway can help reduce premature death by 50% globally by 2050. Langsikt is one of the commissioning parties for the committee, and has also had a central part of the secretariat. NRK mentioned the report launch first, and the report has also been featured in VG, Forskning.no, Dagsavisen, Vårt Land, Adresseavisen, Nettavisen and others. You can find the report under “Publications” with the name “Norway can, Norway should: Take the lead in halving premature death by 2050.”
Wanted: Norwegians to help form future of country's $1.8 trillion piggy bank
Some 40,000 Norwegian citizens picked at random will next month receive an invitation to help shape the future of their country's wealth, including what to do with its $1.8 trillion sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest. They will be whittled down to 66 to take part in the Future Panel, described as a "citizens' assembly for Norway's future" by its organisers, a group of seven non-governmental organisations.
Director of Langsikt Eirik Mofoss in Agenda interview on Norway's green guarantees
Eirik Mofoss is one of several people interviewed in Agenda Magazine on Norway's green investments. Mofoss criticizes the Norwegian Green Guarantee Scheme for setting aside a buffer for possible losses, and believes that Norway, with its strong economy and access to capital, does not need such a loss provision.
Eirik Mofoss in panel discussion on Norway's support to the vaccine alliance Gavi
The Managing director of Langsikt, Eirik Mofoss, recently participated in a panel discussion with Sania Nishtar, director of the vaccine alliance Gavi. Over the past 25 years, including with the support of Norway, Gavi has vaccinated over one billion children.
Året da KI vant Nobelprisene
Seniorrådgiver Sigrid Bratlie kommenterer nobelprisen i kjemi og i medisin (som begge egentlig går til molekylærbiologi!) i Abels tårn spesial om årets Nobelpriser.
The law that drives the development of AI
Aksel Sterri, Research Director, writes about the scaling law and the consequences it can have for Norwegian AI policy. “Despite the challenges, there is little reason to believe that we have seen the best AI models. Billions of dollars are invested in the leading technology companies and AI-created data has already been used to improve Anthropic's AI model. Epoch's conclusion is that “by 2030, with a high probability, it will be possible to train models that exceed GPT-4 in scale to the same extent that GPT-4 exceeds GPT-2 in scale”.”
Tore Renberg kritiserer Digitaliseringsministerns holdning til KI-sikkerhet
Tore Renberg kritiserer digitaliseringsministerens svar til fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri på Dagsnytt 18 den 26.09. Tung svarer: «Jeg tror ikke på dommedagsscenarioene.» - "Merk hvilket ord hun bruker: «Tror.» Som Braanen Sterri sa: Sånn kan vi ikke holde på. Vi kan ikke basere den største revolusjonen i moderne tid på tro. Det har folk forsøkt før. For hva er tro? Tro er følelser. Og menneskene i samfunnet er ikke eksperter, de er følelsesklumper. Det skal de få lov til å være. Det er den styrende parten som ikke har lov til å styre etter følelser."
Fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri kommenterer regjeringens nye digitaliseringsstategi i Dagsnytt 18
Fagsjef Aksel Braanen Sterri kommenterer og diskuterer regjeringens nye digitaliseringsstategi med Digitaliseringsminister Karianne Tung i Dagsnytt 18. Sterri etterlyser at Digitaliseringsstrategien lytter til de ledende forskerne på KI og tar på alvor de mulige alvorlige truslene fra KI.
Professorer om oljens klimaeffekt: – Norge har et visst moralsk ansvar
E24 skriver om det nye forslaget, og det tilhørende arrangementet av Langsikt og Samfunnsøkonomene, lagt fram av Steinar Holden og Michael Hoel i den nyeste utgaven av Samfunnsøkonomen. Forslaget innebærer en klimaavgift på olje som skal brukes til å finansiere klimainvesteringer i utviklingsland.