Will the AI growth continue?
29.11.24
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Policy note

Will the AI growth continue?

Aksel Braanen Sterri
Anders Eidesvik
Jakob Volan
Jacob Wulff Wold
Peder Skjelbred

The scaling laws that drive AI development.

Are our politicians AI skeptics?
23.9.24
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Op-ed

Are our politicians AI skeptics?

Peder Skjelbred
Aksel Braanen Sterri

Either they ignore the challenges, or they ridicule them.

What do we owe the future?
13.9.24
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Op-ed

What do we owe the future?

Peder Skjelbred
Aksel Braanen Sterri

Do we have moral obligations towards people that do not yet exist? In long-term ethics, one is concerned with the future, but what does it really entail?

Norwegian food security in scenarios with abrupt sunlight reduction
9.8.24
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Policy note

Norwegian food security in scenarios with abrupt sunlight reduction

Michael Hinge
Noah Wescombe
Peder Skjelbred
Ram Eirik Glomseth

This report, prepared in collaboration with ALLFED, highlights the ongoing threat to Norway's food systems from abrupt sunlight reduction scenarios (ASRS), caused by events such as a volcanic eruption, nuclear conflict or an asteroid impact. Historically, such scenarios have severely disrupted the global climate and would have catastrophic consequences for food security around the world if they were to occur again. However, there are effective measures that Norwegian authorities can take to strengthen preparedness both before and after such an event, which can reduce disruptions to the food system and save lives globally.

Recommendations for the UN report on autonomous weapons
30.4.24
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Input

Recommendations for the UN report on autonomous weapons

Peder Skjelbred

Langsikt thanks for the opportunity to contribute to Norway's preparations for the UN Secretary-General's report on autonomous weapons systems. (NB: The PDF is in Norwegian)

Consultation input to the Total Emergency Committee
16.10.23
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Input

Consultation input to the Total Emergency Committee

Peder Skjelbred
Jacob Wulff Wold

The Centre for Long-Term Policy refers to a consultation letter dated 16 June 2023 in which the Ministry of Justice and Emergency Services asks for input on the Totalbereskapskommistionen's investigation NOU 2023:17 Now it is serious - Totalbereskapskommisjonen.

Better, but still too narrowly, Vedum
21.3.23
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Op-ed

Better, but still too narrowly, Vedum

Peder Skjelbred

Vedum does smart in including security policy in the upcoming perspective message, but he still leaves out some of the biggest threats of our time.

We're early in history—if we change our priorities
9.8.23
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Op-ed

We're early in history—if we change our priorities

Peder Skjelbred

It is our moral responsibility to act in line with the interests of those yet to be born.